Caulfield Cup is the best guide
Looking to find the winner of this year’s Melbourne Cup?
Then make sure you pin your eyes on Caulfield racecourse this Saturday, because there’s a strong chance the winner of this year’s Melbourne Cup will be doing the rounds in the 2400m Caulfield Cup.
Put simply, this race has been the best guide to the Flemington two miler for many years.
Of course, there’s always an exception to the rule – like last year! – but on the score of statistics, Caulfield is the best guide.
Let’s Look at Melbourne Cup Betting winners and how they fared in the Caulfield Cup:
2007 Efficient: Did not Run
2006 Delta Blues: Third
2005 Makybe Diva: Did not run
2004 Makybe Diva: 2nd
2003 Makybe Diva: 4th
2002 Media Puzzle: Did not run
2001 Ethereal: WON
2000 Brew: Did not run
1999 Rogan Josh: 4th
1998 Jezabeel: 6th
1997 Might And Power: WON
1996 Saintly: Did not run
1995 Doriemus: WON
1994 Jeune: Did not run
1993 Vintage Crop: Did not run
1992 Subzero: 4th
1991 Let’s Elope: WON
1990 Kingston Rule: Did not run
1989 Tawrrific: 17th
1988 Empire Rose: Did not run
So, from the past 20 runnings of the Cup, 11 winners have come through the Caulfield Cup. No other race can boast such a strike rate.
Furthermore, you can usually narrow the Caulfield Cup down to those that finished in the first half dozen – or even first four barring severe interference, as 1998 winner Jezabeel should have finished much closer in that year’s Caulfield Cup after being the victim of severe interference.
Even the great Makybe Diva ran in two Caulfield Cups prior to her first Melbourne Cup victory, before taking a preference to the Cox Plate in her final year.
Furthermore, the international runners are now taking to running at Caulfield. The two Japanese runners ran there before running 1-2 at Flemington just over two weeks later, while last year’s Melbourne Cup Odds runner up Purple Moon had a pipe opener at Caulfield.
Finally, the Caulfield Cup winner has a great strike rate at Flemington, with four in the past 17 runnings doing the double, so be sure to watch this Saturday’s race very closely if you want to find the winner of the race that stops a nation on the First Tuesday in November.
